DAILY ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS 01-11-16 – USDJPY correction possibly complete.

USDJPY

Current wave [v]

 

30 min

4 Hours

Daily

My Bias: neutral- long
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Short term wave count: wave [iii] grey
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: Unemployment Claims, FOMC Member Evans Speaks, FOMC Member Harker Speaks, Import Prices m/m, Fed Chair Yellen Speaks.

Last night I was looking for USDJPY to decline further in wave (c) green,
After a brief rise to touch the upper trendline of that trend chanel, the price dropped 240 points in a couple of hours.
There is no other for of analysis that I know of, other than Elliott wave analysis, that allows you to see past the cold right edge of the chart like that.
And that is why I use this form of analysis.

Back to the market.
There is a possibility that wave (c) green is complete at todays low of 114.24.
I have shown that option on the chart, but wave ‘iv’ brown could also form a triangle from here, which would allow for another low in the coming days.
The lower target in wave [iv] grey was about 113.90 so that option is not off the table just yet.

If we get a rally above the resistance at wave (b) green, then we can start turning bullish again in wave [v] grey.

Also keep in mind the Alternate wave count on the Daily chart, This view is slightly remote in terms of probability as of today, but there is a certain appeal to that larger picture.
If the market starts dropping through previous support levels, then this wave count will be favored.

Firstly I am looking to see if todays low holds.


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