Look beyond ordinary analysis
What is it?
To start I needs to assume that you know what is the support and Resistance in Forex trading. If not see few simple definitions and examples below.
Support and Resistance are psychological levels which price has difficulties to break. Many reversals of trend will occur on these levels.
The harder for price to cross a certain level, the stronger it is and the profitability of our trades will increase. The most basic form of Support and Resistance is horizontal. Many traders watch those levels on every day basis and many orders are often accumulated around support or resistance areas.
It important to mention, support and resistance is NOT an exact price but rather a ZONE. Many novice traders treat the support and resistance as an exact price, which they are not. Trader must think of support and resistance as a ZONE or AREA.
These levels are probably the most important concepts in technical analysis. They are a core of most professional day trading strategies out there.
How do I trade with it?
Let me introduce you to the “Role Reversal”. Let’s see how can you use it in your every day’s trading.
Role Reversal is a simple and powerful idea of support becoming a resistance (in the downtrend) and the resistance becoming a support (in the uptrend).
Let see how this plays out in the uptrend.
Once the price is making higher highs and higher lows we call it uptrend. Technical trader must assume the price is going to go up forever and only long trades should be considered. Once the uptrend is defined, the lowest strategy to trade is – buy on pullbacks.
As per definition of an uptrend, the price punching through the resistance and pullback before it makes another higher high.
“Role reversal” concept comes handy for bulls in this scenario.
Once the resistance is broken to the upside, it becomes a new support level.
Resistance changes its role to support, hence the name “Role Reversal”.
After making a new higher high, the price in uptrend must correct. It is likely to correct to the new support level. This can present an excellent buying opportunity for bulls.
We don’t know where exactly price will resume an uptrend. Risk management must be applied.
Trader must remember to treat support and resistance levels as ZONES rather than exact price.
The same principle applies to downtrends.
If the market is in downtrend, the price will punch through supports making new lower lows. The broken support becomes new resistance and offers opportunity for short positions.
Sometimes the price will pull back a bit further than just the former support or resistance. It might retrace toward other important technical levels.
I like to combine pure price action with other major, widely used leading indicators. My favourite would be: Pivot Points and Fibonacci retracements. After many years of using these tools, I can say with confidence, they are pretty accurate.
The popularity of these tools makes them so responsive.
You could also establish few levels of entries for example:
If you are looking to buy the market after the price made fresh high, you would be waiting for the price to retrace towards role reversal, Fibonacci Level or moving average. As you are pretty confident, the price is moving higher, you don’t know how far the price will pullback.
If it’s an aggressive day, the price can only come back to 20MA and shoot for new high again. Another day, the price can dip as far as 38% Fib retracement.
You can divide you position into 3 equal parts and set limit orders based on the logic above:
1/3 at 20MA, 1/3 at role reversal, 1/3 at 50% Fib retracement. This way you lower the risk and increase the odds of getting filled.
If you like this strategy and want to learn more about it, I advise you join Wayne McDonell Forex Today Strategy Session videos. Wayne is most definitely the master of role reversal trading. I advise you watch all his videos. There is something to learn for you in each one of them.
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6,114 total views, 27 views today
6,115 total views, 28 views today